Ward 11: Da Nephew in the Lead
30% of Ward Still Undecided
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll on behalf of Aldertrack Wednesday, February 4, 2015 for 11th Ward Alderman with 429 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
|Patrick Daley Thompson||160||37.3%|
Margin of Error +/- 4.82% at 95% Confidence Interval
Mayor Richard M. Daley’s nephew, Patrick Daley Thompson, has a strong 15-point lead over John Kozlar. Thompson would need about a third of the undecided vote to win outright on February 24.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further development in this race.
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections, likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.
Respondents by Gender
Respondents by Age
|Age 18 - 30||51||11.9%|
|Age 31 - 45||144||33.6%|
|Age 46 - 64||133||31.1%|
|Age 65 plus||100||23.4%|
Respondents by Zipcode